These are things we know that we know

Dec 31, 2013

Brexit unknowns abound as political sensitivities keep all parties on edge

Then, last week, the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier , spoke very frankly indeed about his views on how the talks with the UK should progress, even if he was just putting flesh on the bones of what had already been agreed as new directives at the EU Council meeting earlier this month.

moncler factory outlet More importantly, he set some key deadlines and had a number of very specific cheap moncler sale messages for Britain, including that the transition period will last no longer than 21 months which essentially is not much moncler mens jackets different really than British Prime Minister Theresa May’s request at her Florence speech for a period of about two years and that it must comply with all EU rules in that period. moncler factory outlet

It also allows for Britain to have a non voting place at some EU meetings, including a special arrangement for the UK having a role in setting annual EU fishing quotas.

cheap moncler coats He said the EU did not want to stretch the negotiations any further than 2020 in order to tie in with the moncler sale region’s seven year budgetary calendar. cheap moncler coats

The next official step is an EU Council meeting scheduled to take place in January, where these negotiating directives need to be agreed on by the remaining member states.

This will lead to a legal moncler outlet online mandate monlcer down jackets to discuss transition with the UK. The big question for Ireland, of course, is while there is an agreement that there will be no hard border on this island, no one seems to know what that actually means.

And this is one of the issues that will have to be agreed in phase two of the negotiations.

moncler sale outlet One thing is for sure; the scope for further misunderstanding is massive. moncler sale outlet

moncler jacket sale Earlier this month, for example, the UK Brexit Secretary, David Davis, had to row back on comments that the deal that there would be no hard border was not legally binding. moncler jacket sale

moncler outlet store He later said that his comments on cheap moncler coats the BBC’s Andrew Marr Show had been misunderstood. moncler outlet store

cheap moncler jackets sale Misunderstandings aside Moncler Outlet , we do know that a recent mapping document, conducted jointly between the UK and EU, highlighted up to 142 cross border activities that would be affected by Brexit. cheap moncler jackets sale

The document emerged following an earlier British position paper that focused only on trade and ignored aspects of the Good Friday Agreement.

cheap moncler jackets Aside from trade areas like the all Ireland electricity market, agriculture and transport, questions also remain on how cross border health services would operate, for example. cheap moncler jackets

According to an information note to the Article 50 working group, “EU law also provides a supporting framework of rights that underpin the equality provisions of the GFA. A range of significant rights and equality protections are in fact established through EU regulations and directives such as in the area of employment law and non discrimination, as well as being enshrined in the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights”. So much of the Border negotiation will also be down to what Britain has moncler outlet actually committed to as part of the buy moncler jackets Good Friday Agreement and that is set to be a complicated challenge.

moncler outlet jackets There is also sensitivity on the DUP side in relation to “regulatory alignment”, which essentially means continuing to follow some of the EU single market rules. moncler outlet jackets

cheap moncler outlet We are heading into a year of uncertainty on Brexit. cheap moncler outlet

cheap moncler While a lot of cheap moncler outlet focus will remain on the Border issue, there is the bigger picture at play of how the negotiations between the British and EU sides go. cheap moncler

moncler outlet sale So far it would appear that the EU has hung tough on issues like the timeline on exit, the divorce bill and a refusal to give Britain any bespoke deal on financial services but May might take some solace from the agreement on fisheries discussions. moncler outlet sale

moncler outlet And even if it did look, at times, that there would be no agreement or ways to move forward during the year there has been some headway. (There’s a lot to be said for an all nighter EU Summit in Brussels!) moncler outlet

Still, there is scope for the unravelling of what has been achieved so far in passing the finishing line on phase one of negotiations.

moncler sale Relationships between the key players is important and diplomacy skills sometimes can be underestimated. moncler sale

In October, European Commission president Jean Claude Juncker jumped to salvage relations with Downing Street in denying claims that May had begged for help at a private dinner in Brussels.

The move came at a moncler outlet sale sensitive time in Brexit negotiations and his comments came just hours after Martin Selmayr, his chief of staff, publicly denied that he had been the source of an account of the dinner in Brussels which was published in a German newspaper.

moncler jackets outlet There are lots of other political sensitivities around the whole Brexit saga. moncler jackets outlet

Hammering out a fast agreement on a transition deal moncler outlet store is very important for businesses which in many ways are hamstrung by the uncertainty around Brexit and are trying to finalise plans for the post exit environment, but May is in many ways moncler sale outlet a weakened leader.

It’s a tough juggling act on the one hand keeping on top of negotiations with the EU and on the other keeping the coalition with the DUP alive as well as dealing with her warring cabinet.

moncler outlet online What kind of Brexit model that will eventually emerge is anyone’s guess at this stage and it could take years to finalise but it does appear that the EU, headed up by Barnier, is sticking to its pledge that the Good Friday Agreement should continue to be protected and strengthened in all its parts after Brexit. moncler outlet online

The former US Secretary of Defence, Donald Rumsfeld, was talking about Iraq when he now famously said: “There are known knowns. These are things we know that we know. There are known unknowns. That is to say, there cheap moncler are things that we know we don’t know. But there are also unknown unknowns. There are things we don’t know we don’t know.”.

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